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Phase 1 · Deliverable 07 of 10

Supplier-delay journey

A critical raw-material supplier delays a scheduled delivery. Material cover falls, Plant 02 faces a forecast production shortfall, dispatch and billing slip, cash-upstream exposure rises, and an alternate-sourcing decision is needed. Part A is the backstage flow before the Owner sees anything. Part B is the primary clickable Owner journey.

DRAFT v0.1 · FOR APPROVAL SYNTHETIC SCENARIO · ALL VALUES AND TIMES SYNTHETIC THRESHOLDS: PLACEHOLDER

Primary clickable journey (Phase 4 prototype path)

Step
Time (SYN)
Route
Role
What they see
Human decision / action
AI involvement (bounded)
Issue state
Part A · Backstage: Entity and Core Group, before the Owner sees anything
A1
D-1 21:40
E-04 · E-01 signal
Functional Leader (supply)
Supplier S-07 delivery notice for raw material RM-1 slips 6 days. SIG-009 Critical-material shortage risk goes to Elevated. Plant 02 cover is projected at 3.5 days against a 9-day replenishment lead time. SIG-010 single-source flag. Tag: LEADING · PRELIMINARY.
Review the signal
Detection only
Signal: Elevated
A2
D-1 22:05
S-04 Alert Detail
Entity Executive (notified)
ALT-SYN-2041 'Forecast production shortfall, Plant 02, RM-1 supply delay'. Label FORECAST. Source category: Supplier signal [PH]. Confidence Medium. Linked KPIs: OPS-001, SIG-009, SIG-007.
—
Validation Assistant checks supplier notice vs inventory vs production plan: 'Consistent across 3 sources; inventory figure preliminary'.
Detected → Validating
A3
D-1 22:30
S-04 · E-09
Entity Executive
Routing draft: owner role Entity Executive (Entity A1); supporting Functional Leader (supply); due D0 12:00; path L0 → L1 → L2. Escalation clock starts [ACCEPTANCE CLOCK — PH].
Accept or reassign the draft
Escalation Routing Assistant drafts owner role, due date, path and decision required. It does not assign.
Unowned
A4
D-1 23:15
E-09 → S-05
Entity Executive
Accepts ownership. CASE-SYN-0388 opens; the Functional Leader (supply) accepts the supporting action. Core Group becomes a watcher because the impact is cross-functional (production + cash).
Accept ownership (audited)
—
Owned → Investigating
A5
D0 05:10
S-04 materiality panel
System (rule) · Core Group notified
Forecast refresh: days to breach 4; projected shortfall 18.4 kt; dispatch delay 2–4 days; billing deferral ₹31 m; cash-upstream exposure ₹26 m; projected EBITDA gap ₹9.2 m; probability of plan miss 64%. Materiality drivers: Production High · Liquidity High · Financial Medium · Regulatory Low · EHS None → Critical (PLACEHOLDER logic).
Core Group Executive opens war room WR-SYN-0142 at D0 06:00; Entity names an Incident Commander
Explanation Assistant drafts the 'why' (S-07), with facts, assumptions and interpretation kept separate
Critical · Incident INC-SYN-0142
Part B · Primary clickable Owner journey (Owner sees the issue only after the threshold crossing in A5)
B1
D0 06:30
O-01 Enterprise Health Home
Owner
Status strip: Operations 'Intervention required'. Banner: '1 new material issue since yesterday'. EBITDA card: actual On track (certified P06 / preliminary P07) with a separate forecast-breach marker in forecast style. Open critical alerts +1.
Open the 24-Hour Change Report
The Daily Brief (O-07) was drafted by the Briefing Assistant and released by a Core Group role
War room active
B2
D0 06:32
O-02 24-Hour Change Report
Owner
Rank #1: ALT-SYN-2041 moved Not material → Critical at 05:10; before/after values with provenance tags; owner role shown as accepted.
Open the material alert
AI summary paragraph, labelled AI-generated, with source chips
—
B3
D0 06:33
S-04 Alert Detail
Owner
Header: ID · state · severity Critical · materiality Critical (drivers: Production, Liquidity) · detected · FORECAST · source category · commander role · escalation level L2. Current vs forecast impact. Decision required: alternate sourcing above [DoA LIMIT — PH].
View entity contribution
'Why did this happen?' opens S-07
—
B4
D0 06:35
S-09 Entity Contribution
Owner
Projected EBITDA gap by entity (bars, sorted): Entity A1 = 82% (SYN); others small. Breadcrumb Group → Business A → Entity A1. Each bar carries its trust state.
Drill to Plant 02
—
—
B5
D0 06:36
S-10 Operations Impact
Owner
Plant 02 production actual vs plan vs forecast; forecast falls below plan from D+4; Line L2 most affected; material cover vs lead time. Owner depth: no work queues (C-14).
View cash exposure
—
—
B6
D0 06:38
S-11 Cash Exposure
Owner
Lifecycle Production → Dispatch → Billing → Collection → Cash → Upstreaming for Entity A1. Leakage at Dispatch and Billing; Billing trust Preliminary; Cash trust Certified (P06); upstream exposure ₹26 m.
Open the case
—
—
B7
D0 06:40
S-05 Case Detail (war-room mode)
Owner (view + intervene)
Live facts (certified / preliminary / missing / external / assumptions), 11-dimension impact grid, timeline, actions, communications. Scenario SCN-SYN-0031: A = alternate supplier S-12 at a premium; B = reallocate RM-1 from Plant 03; C = accept the shortfall.
Request analysis or intervene
Recommendation drafted with rationale and confidence; tagged 'AI recommendation · not a decision'
Action in progress
B8
D0 06:41
S-05 Ownership panel
Owner sees; Entity Executive owns
Ownership accepted by the Entity Executive role at D-1 23:15 (audited), Incident Commander role assigned, decision authority for DEC-SYN-0219 shown as Owner (Critical + above DoA). Watchers: Core Group.
Owner approves Option A + B (permitted strategic decision) with rationale, via O-06
AI cannot select an option; the decision control is human-only
Decision recorded
B9
D0 → D+6
S-05 Actions · E-09
Action Owners · Incident Commander
ACT-SYN-1107 Qualify alternate supplier S-12 · ACT-SYN-1108 Expedite logistics · ACT-SYN-1109 Re-sequence Line L2 · ACT-SYN-1110 Reprioritise customer dispatch. Each has owner role, due date, dependency and evidence required. 1108 Blocked at D+1 → escalated L1; cleared D+2.
Accept, update, attach evidence, escalate when blocked
Routing Assistant drafts updates; Executive and Owner updates drafted, then approved by Core Group
Action in progress → Recovery monitoring
B10
D+9
E-10 · S-05 Closure
Action Owner → Core Group Executive (approver, D-06)
Closure criteria: cover restored ≥ [PH] days; Plant 02 forecast back on plan; dispatch backlog cleared; upstream exposure within [PH]. Evidence completeness 100% (SYN). Residual risk: single-source dependency. Root cause recorded. Preventive action: dual-sourcing initiative (proposed in O-04). Reopen control shown.
Action Owner requests closure; Core Group Executive approves; Assurance Reviewer samples
Validation Assistant confirms evidence completeness; it cannot close
Closure requested → Closed

Who sees the issue, and when

The issue reaches each lens only when the rule for that lens fires. Filled = visible and actionable. Grey = visible as a summary or watcher. Blank = not shown (no push, not in landing pages).

Lens
A1 Signal
A2 Alert
A3 Unowned
A4 Owned
A5 Critical
B9 Actions
B10 Closed
Entity
Visible
Visible
Act
Act
Act
Act
Visible
Core Group
· Watcher if cross-functional
· Watcher
· Watcher
Act (war room)
Coordinate
Approve closure
Owner
Visible (pushed)
· Decision + view
· Informed

Non-happy branches in this journey

ID
Branch
What the user sees
Rule (not AI)
BR-1
Nobody accepts ownership in time
'Alert without owner' state: amber clock and an 'Unowned' label in E-09 and G-09; EFF-006 increments.
Auto-escalate to the next level when [ACCEPTANCE CLOCK — PH] expires
BR-2
Forecast unavailable
Forecast area shows grey 'Forecast unavailable', with the reason and the last available forecast time. Materiality is computed on actuals with confidence Low.
No interpolation shown as a forecast
BR-3
Billing data stale
The lifecycle Billing stage shows trust 'Stale · as of [time]'. Leakage figure greyed and labelled 'Unverified'.
Stale after [FRESHNESS WINDOW — PH]
BR-4
Source unavailable (supplier feed)
Signal tile shows 'Source unavailable'; the last known value is greyed and the source category is named as a placeholder.
No silent fallback
BR-5
Escalation overdue
Escalation clock turns to 'Overdue +[h]' with an icon and label; the item moves to the top of G-09.
Ladder per D-08
BR-6
Closure rejected
Approver rejects with a reason; state returns to Recovery monitoring and the missing evidence items are highlighted.
Rejection reason mandatory
BR-7
Reopened
A recurrence within [REOPEN WINDOW — PH] reopens the case with a link to the prior closure; EFF-004 Repeat issues increments.
D-18