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Phase 1 · Master reference R3

Scenario bible, materiality model and glossary

The single source for every synthetic fact, ID, time and value used in any later phase, plus the placeholder materiality model and the controlled vocabulary. If a screen needs a fact that is not here, add it here first and label it.

DRAFT v0.1 · FOR APPROVAL EVERYTHING ON THIS BOARD IS SYNTHETIC OR PLACEHOLDER

Synthetic hierarchy

Neutral labels only. No industry, geography or client branding is invented.

Group (SYNTHETIC) ├─ Business A │ ├─ Entity A1 ← scenario entity │ │ ├─ Plant 01 │ │ ├─ Plant 02 ← affected plant │ │ │ ├─ Line L1 │ │ │ ├─ Line L2 ← most affected line │ │ │ └─ Line L3 │ │ └─ Plant 03 ← Option B donor plant │ └─ Entity A2 ├─ Business B │ ├─ Entity B1 │ └─ Entity B2 └─ Business C ├─ Entity C1 └─ Entity C2

Scenario facts (SYNTHETIC)

Currency: ₹ m = Indian rupees, millions (synthetic values). Times are relative to D0 = the Owner's morning.

Fact
Value
Supplier
Supplier S-07 (single source for RM-1)
Material
Raw material RM-1 (critical)
Delivery slip
6 days
Plant 02 material cover
9.0 d → 3.5 d
Replenishment lead time
9 d
Days to breach (PRD-001)
4
Projected production shortfall
18.4 kt
Dispatch delay
2–4 days
Billing deferral
₹31 m
Cash-upstream exposure
₹26 m
Projected EBITDA gap (PRD-003)
₹9.2 m
Probability of plan miss (PRD-002)
64%
Entity A1 share of projected gap
82%
Confidence
Medium (inventory figure preliminary)
Options (SCN-SYN-0031)
A alternate supplier S-12 at a premium · B reallocate RM-1 from Plant 03 · C accept the shortfall
Decision (DEC-SYN-0219)
A + B approved by Owner role (Critical, above [DoA LIMIT — PH])

Timeline (SYNTHETIC)

Time
Event
Object / ID
Visible to
D-2
Administrator role changes mapping M-SYN-L2 (Line L2 meter); KPI goes to Pending certification
M-SYN-L2
Entity, Assurance
D-1 21:40
Supplier delivery notice slips; shortage-risk signal elevated
SIG-009, SIG-010
Entity
D-1 22:05
Alert created and validated
ALT-SYN-2041
Entity; Core Group watcher
D-1 22:30
AI routing draft; acceptance clock starts
ALT-SYN-2041
Entity
D-1 23:15
Entity Executive accepts ownership; case opens
CASE-SYN-0388
Entity; Core Group watcher
D0 05:10
Forecast refresh; materiality crosses Owner threshold [PH] → Critical
INC-SYN-0142
Entity, Core Group, Owner
D0 06:00
War room opened by Core Group Executive (moved from 08:00 in Phase 2 so the Owner sees it at 06:30)
WR-SYN-0142
Members, Owner (view)
D0 06:30
Daily Executive Brief released
O-07
Owner
D0 06:30–06:41
Owner primary journey B1–B8
—
Owner
D0 10:20
Break resolved; OPS-001 certified with exception (trust journey)
BRK-SYN-0071
All in scope
D0 11:00
Owner decision on alternate sourcing
DEC-SYN-0219
All in scope
D+1
Logistics expedite blocked → escalated L1; cleared D+2
ACT-SYN-1108
Entity, Core Group
D+6
Recovery monitoring begins
INC-SYN-0142
All in scope
D+9
Closure requested and approved; preventive dual-sourcing initiative proposed
ACT-SYN-1107..1110 · INC-SYN-0142
All in scope; Owner informed

ID registry

Pattern
Example
Meaning
KPI domain-nnn
OPS-001
Governed KPI (R1)
SIG-nnn / PRD-nnn
SIG-009
Leading signal / prediction output
ALT-SYN-nnnn
ALT-SYN-2041
Alert
CASE-SYN-nnnn
CASE-SYN-0388
Case (after ownership acceptance)
INC-SYN-nnnn
INC-SYN-0142
Incident (case ≥ High with commander)
WR-SYN-nnnn
WR-SYN-0142
War room of an incident
ACT-SYN-nnnn
ACT-SYN-1107
Action
DEC-SYN-nnnn
DEC-SYN-0219
Decision record
SCN-SYN-nnnn
SCN-SYN-0031
Scenario
BRK-SYN-nnnn
BRK-SYN-0071
Reconciliation break
EVD-SYN-nnnn
EVD-SYN-0510
Evidence item
M-SYN-xx
M-SYN-L2
Approved mapping

Materiality model (PLACEHOLDER: pending D-03)

Dimensions were reconstructed from a garbled section of the brief (C-10). Scoring logic, weights and thresholds are placeholders and must show a 'Placeholder, pending approval' label wherever they appear. The UI always shows which dimensions drove the level.

Dimension
Measures used (from R1)
Scenario rating (SYN)
Source of dimension
Financial impact
FIN-001, PRD-003
Medium
Brief (partial)
Liquidity / cash impact
CSH-006, PRD-004, WCP-001
High
Brief ('Liquidity…', garbled)
Production exposure
OPS-001, SIG-007, PRD-001
High
Brief
Regulatory impact
REG-005, REG-009
Low
Brief
Reputation impact
Qualitative [PH]
Low
Brief ('Reputatior', garbled)
EHS impact
EHS-004, EHS-005
None
Design assumption
Time-to-breach modifier
PRD-001
Raises by one level ≤ [PH] d
Design assumption
Level
Rule (placeholder)
Visibility consequence
Critical
Any dimension ≥ [CRIT THRESHOLD — PH], or composite ≥ [PH]
Pushed to Owner (O-01 banner, O-02, O-07); war room eligible; Core Group approves closure
High
Composite ≥ [HIGH THRESHOLD — PH]
Core Group pushed; Owner pull only (D-04); incident eligible
Medium
Composite ≥ [MED THRESHOLD — PH]
Entity owns; Core Group sees in comparisons; Entity Executive approves closure
Low
Below Medium
Entity work queue only

Labelling rules

Label
Use
SYNTHETIC
Every demonstration name, date, time, value, forecast and ID.
PLACEHOLDER / [PH]
Thresholds, authority limits, source systems, schedules, covenant terms, legal rules: anything that needs a client decision.
Design assumption
Any detail the brief does not support (A-xx), shown where it affects a screen.
AI-generated · not approved
Every AI-produced text, recommendation or draft until a human accepts it.

Glossary (controlled vocabulary)

Term
Definition in this product
Lens
A depth of view (Owner, Core Group, Entity). It never grants scope.
Scope
The hierarchy nodes and domains a user is entitled to see.
Business status
How a measure performs: On track, Improving, Declining, Breached, Forecast breach.
Trust status
Whether a number is defensible: Certified, Certified with exception, Pending certification, Reconciliation break, Stale, Missing, Restricted.
Provenance
Class of a value: certified actual, preliminary actual, forecast, scenario, external signal, AI-generated.
Leading signal
An early indicator that may predict an outcome; not itself an outcome.
Prediction output
A modelled forward value (days to breach, probability, projected gap). Always shown in forecast style.
Alert
A system-detected, validated deviation or forecast breach.
Case
An alert with an accepted human owner, holding actions and evidence.
Incident
A case at materiality ≥ High with an Incident Commander.
War room
Collaboration mode of an incident.
Materiality
Placeholder-scored significance (Critical, High, Medium, Low) with visible drivers.
Owner threshold
The materiality level at which an issue is pushed to the Owner [PH].
Accountability strip
Severity, exposure, owner role, due date, escalation clock, evidence state, next action.
Escalation clock
Rule-based time remaining before automatic escalation to the next level.
Disclosure clock
Time and state of disclosure review, where applicable [PH]; no legal rule is modelled.
Certification
A human Certifier's decision that a KPI value for a period is defensible.
Certified with exception
Certified, with a recorded limitation and a due date for its resolution.
Reconciliation break
A variance between two reconciled points that exceeds tolerance [PH].
Lineage
The path from source placeholder to KPI to leadership views.
Evidence
An immutable file, link or attestation supporting a fact, action or closure.
Closure
Human-approved end of a case once its criteria are met; reopenable under control.
Decision
A recorded human choice with authority role, rationale and options considered.
Scenario
A labelled what-if with explicit assumptions; never the base forecast.