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Scope Entity A1 (own entity) Period P07 MTD (SYN) Last refresh 06:25 (SYN) Answers use only data in your scope; restricted items are never confirmed Sources and lineage

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Question

Why is the Entity A1 P07 forecast down, and is any other entity affected?

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Entity A1 only (your entitlement)

Answered by

Explanation Assistant · AI-generated · D0 06:45

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Questions on the top Overview KPIs · EBITDA YTD, EBIT YTD, production vs plan

Q: Why did EBITDA YTD rise by ₹201.4 m in September, and are we on plan?

CERTEntity A1 earned ₹201.4 m EBITDA in Sep, its best month this year, taking EBITDA YTD to ₹890.6 m (FIN-001). The margin rose to 17.4% from 11.9% in Aug.

CERTRevenue fell ₹26.3 m, but variable cost fell more: ₹85.8 m (CST-002), mostly fuel (CST-003 down ₹79.6 m).

CERTAgainst plan, YTD EBITDA is ₹116.2 m (−11.5%) short: ₹113.1 m from volume (sales below plan) and ₹3.1 m from price.

AI · NOT APPROVEDThe September rise is a cost effect, not a volume recovery; the volume gap behind the plan shortfall is still open (see question 3).

EBITDA by month · Entity A1 · ₹ m

AnswersWhich months earned the EBITDA?

Monthly EBITDA = change in FIN-001 YTD (model, certified to Sep).

Apr

167.9 margin 14.0%

May

67.8 margin 6.0%

Jun

134.4 margin 12.0%

Jul

178.4 margin 15.0%

Aug

140.8 margin 11.9%

Sep

201.4 margin 17.4%

EBITDA bridge · YTD plan → actual · Entity A1 · ₹ m

AnswersWhat moved EBITDA versus plan?

Same bridge as Financial Health (E-11).

1,006.7

Plan

−113.1

Volume (sales below plan)

−3.1

Price

890.5

Actual

Total Increase DecreaseAxis starts at 830

Answer · separated by provenance

CERTEntity A1 P06 production was 91.3% of plan (Plant 02 78.4%). OPS-001 →

PRELIMRM-1 cover is 3.5 days against a 9-day lead time. SIG-009 →

FCSTThe P07 forecast is 91.0% of plan because of a −24.3 kt shortfall from D+4. PRD-001 →

AI · NOT APPROVEDInterpretation: the shortfall is driven mainly by Plant 02 reliability (6 breakdowns, 78 h unplanned downtime in P06); the RM-1 supply delay adds to it.

RESTRICTEDI can only answer for Entity A1. Questions about other entities are outside your scope; I cannot confirm or deny anything about them (GR-09).

Saved inquiries

Question

Asked

Status

Why is the Entity A1 P07 forecast down?

D0 06:45

Answered

What is our upstream obligation this month?

D-3

Answered

Daily brief · Entity A1 · D0 06:30 (Brief Writer)

CERTEBITDA YTD ₹890.6 m (-11.5% vs plan); EBIT ₹610.0 m; ROCE 11.1% vs 12.0% target.

PRELIMDSO 52 d (target 45), inventory 40 d; daily collections ₹38.6 m.

FCSTPlant 02 is at 78.4% of plan (P06) and falls below its minimum-output threshold in 4 days; −24.3 kt at risk; −₹56.2 m EBITDA.

AI · NOT APPROVEDPriority today: S-12 qualification and the L2 meter mapping fix.

Functional recommendations and root-cause support

For

Recommendation

Evidence

Provenance

Status

Procurement

Qualify S-12 as second source for RM-1

SIG-009 (Critical-material shortage risk), SIG-010 Single-source supply risk

AI · NOT APPROVED

Action ACT-SYN-1107

Plant 02 (P02)

Re-sequence L2 to protect high-margin grades

PRD-001 (Days to breach (earliest plant)), line shortfall

AI · NOT APPROVED

Action ACT-SYN-1109

Commercial

Call plan for 2 late Group 2 customers

SIG-004 (Collections slippage), SIG-005 Payment delays

AI · NOT APPROVED

Proposed

Data owner

Put meter mapping under change control

BRK-SYN-0071 repeat

AI · NOT APPROVED

Proposed

Maintenance

Inspect L2 kiln refractory at next shift

SIG-008 Critical plant-state alerts

LEADING

Proposed