Synthetic data · thresholds placeholder · scenario time D0 06:40 (SYN)S-06 · Entity view
Scenario Analysis · SCN-SYN-0031 · RM-1 alternate sourcing
What happens under each option?
Scope Entity A1 (own entity)
Period P07 MTD (SYN)
Last refresh 06:25 (SYN)
All outputs are SCENARIO (SCN), never the base forecast
Sources and lineage
Base · shortfallSCN
24.3kt
Forecast breach
Pending certification
Plan0 · var —
Trend—
ForecastFrom D+4
FCST BASE
Refreshed 06:25Owner Planning (role)
Option A · shortfallSCN-A
10.3kt
Declining
Pending certification
Plan0 · var —
Trend—
ForecastRecovers 14.0
SCN
Refreshed 06:25Owner Planning (role)
Option B · shortfallSCN-B
18.2kt
Declining
Pending certification
Plan0 · var —
Trend—
ForecastPlant 03 −1.5 kt
SCN
Refreshed 06:25Owner Planning (role)
Option A + B · shortfallSCN-AB
4.2kt
On track
Pending certification
Plan0 · var —
Trend—
ForecastFull by D+6
SCN
Refreshed 06:25Owner Planning (role)
Option A + B · costSCN-AB$
2.8₹ m
On track
Pending certification
Plan— · var —
Trend—
Forecastvs exposure 9.2
SCN
Refreshed 06:25Owner Finance (role)
Option C · EBITDA gapSCN-C
−56.2₹ m
Forecast breach
Pending certification
Plan0 · var —
Trend—
ForecastAccept shortfall
SCN
Refreshed 06:25Owner Finance (role)
Focus of this page
Plant 02 production · base forecast vs scenario options · kt per day-pair
AnswersWhich sourcing option restores Plant 02 output, and how fast?
Actual · certified
Actual · preliminary
Plan
Forecast and range
Scenario options (SCN)
[MIN OUTPUT — PH]
Scenario assumptions (each owned by a role)
Assumption
Value
Owner (role)
Basis
S-12 qualification time
2 days
Quality (role)
Missing fact, due 09:00
S-12 premium
₹2.4 m
Procurement (role)
Quote [PH]
Plant 03 (P03) releasable RM-1
6.1 kt-equivalent
Planning (role)
Plan buffer
Freight lead time
3 days
Supply (role)
EXT signal
Sensitivity of A + B
If
Then
S-12 qualification takes 4 days
Shortfall 9.0 kt
Plant 03 (P03) releases only 4 kt
Shortfall 8.0 kt
Scenario actions
Issue
Severity
Exposure
Named owner (role)
Due
Status
Next action
High
Decision basis
Entity Executive (publisher for local decisions, D-09)
D0 09:30
Ready
Publish locally