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Owner · 10 steps · alert to closure
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Core Group · 8 steps · break to certification
Synthetic data · thresholds placeholder · scenario time D0 06:40 (SYN)S-12

No-Surprises Signal Board

What can materially hurt us before period end?

Scope Group · all entities Period P07 MTD (SYN) Last refresh 06:25 (SYN) Leading signals (LEADING) and prediction outputs (PREDICTION) are shown separately from actuals Sources and lineage

24-hour change report · Group · Cause → Impact → Action

#
What changed
Cause
Impact
Action (owner · due)
Provenance
Materiality
1
ALT-SYN-2041 · Entity A1 production shortfall
Critical-supplier shipments delayed; critical-material cover 3.5 d
−24.3 kt · −₹56.2 m EBITDA
DEC-SYN-0219 · Owner · D0 11:00
FCST
Critical
2
ALT-SYN-2047 · MP03 contractor slippage (Entity A2)
Contractor resourcing gap
₹148.0 m capex value at risk (Group); MP03 6-week delay
Route owner · Core Group · D0
PRELIM
Medium
3
SIG-004 Collections slippage (Entity A1)
Two Group 2 customers paying late
+1.9 d at Entity A1; ₹16.8 m timing
Call plan · Commercial Entity A1 · D+2
LEADING
Low

Signals changed in 24 h

Signal
Change
SIG-009 Critical-material shortage risk
Watch → Elevated
SIG-010 Single-source supply risk
Normal → Elevated
SIG-007 Production at risk
— → 24.3 kt
SIG-012 Dispatch delays
— → 2–4 d
SIG-016 Freight exposure (lanes disrupted)
Normal → Watch
SIG-004 Collections slippage
Normal → Watch

Signals needing an owner

Issue
Severity
Exposure
Named owner (role)
Due
Status
Escalation
Next action
All elevated signals are linked to an owned alert (ALT-SYN-2041).

Signals changed in 24 h · Entity A1 vs Entity A2 · Sep

AnswersHow do the two entities compare on signals changed in 24 h?

Model values; Group is recalculated from both entities' inputs. Small lines under each entity: its plant values for Sep.

LegendP01 = Plant 1, P02 = Plant 2, P03 = Plant 3 (Entity A1) · P04 = Plant 4, P05 = Plant 5, P06 = Plant 6 (Entity A2)
Scope
Production at risk
Critical-material shortage risk
Single-source supply risk
Dispatch delays
Entity A1
▲ 30.9 ktP01 3.7 kt · P02 24.3 kt · P03 2.9 kt
▼ 4 materialsP01 2 materials · P02 1 material · P03 1 material
▼ 1 suppliers
▼ 10.9%P01 7.5% · P02 16.0% · P03 7.5%
Entity A2
▲ 5.9 ktP04 0.0 kt · P05 0.0 kt · P06 5.9 kt
▼ 1 materialsP04 0 materials · P05 0 materials · P06 1 material
✓ 0 suppliers
▼ 6.1%P04 7.1% · P05 7.6% · P06 2.4%
Group
▲ 36.8 kt
▼ 5 materials
▼ 1 suppliers
▼ 8.7%

Plants with a variation · Signals changed in 24 h

AnswersWhich plants sit behind the signals changed in 24 h numbers?

Plant
Entity
KPI
Sep value
Variation
Plant 02 (P02)
Entity A1
SIG-007 Production at risk
24.3 kt
7.4× plant median
Plant 02 (P02)
Entity A1
SIG-012 Dispatch delays
16.0%
+11.0 pts vs target
Plant 02 (P02)
Entity A1
SIG-009 Critical-material shortage risk
1 material
+1 material vs target
Plant 01 (P01)
Entity A1
SIG-009 Critical-material shortage risk
2 materials
+2 materials vs target
Plant 01 (P01)
Entity A1
SIG-007 Production at risk
3.7 kt
+148% vs Aug
Plant 01 (P01)
Entity A1
SIG-012 Dispatch delays
7.5%
+2.5 pts vs target
Plant 06 (P06)
Entity A2
SIG-009 Critical-material shortage risk
1 material
+1 material vs target
Plant 06 (P06)
Entity A2
SIG-007 Production at risk
5.9 kt
1.8× plant median

Production at risk by entity · per month

AnswersIs the gap between the entities opening or closing?

77.7 -2.9 30.95.936.8 AprMayJunJulAugSep
Entity A1 · CERTEntity A2 · CERTGroup · CERT

Reading · Signals changed in 24 h

CERTProduction at risk: Entity A1 30.9 kt, Entity A2 5.9 kt, Group 36.8 kt. Both entities are on track or improving.
CERT6 of 6 plants show a variation on these measures; the largest: Plant 02 (SIG-007 production at risk 24.3 kt), Plant 01 (SIG-009 critical-material shortage risk 2 materials), Plant 03 (SIG-009 critical-material shortage risk 1 material). Plant detail and root causes are in the Entity lens.